Sunday, September 28, 2008

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My Dollar Investment Forex - Rescue confirmed

There is great caution on the part of operators to enter positions in the financial markets. We have seen how the illiquidity due to the large uncertainty on the markets to be hit by the news of the bankruptcy of major investment banks in the United States.

While the "price" in the currency markets have not been startled, and the Euro has been appreciated and the yen with a clear upward trend, and this reflected in a simple chart analysis, all voices are recommending no enter the Forex markets with large positions.

Fundamental Analysis Of

has been breaking news that has reached an agreement to bailout U.S. financial sector. The details of this agreement was due to give released Monday. Certainly the stock market opened with a strong rise and a degree of optimism should increase the confidence of the American economy, and with it a rise in the dollar against their peers.

Other financial indicators in the U.S. economy have negative growth expectations have declined as the production of durable goods has been lower than expected.

Technical Analysis

The price of the Euro closed at 1.4586 just above our trend line upward. Leaving the expectations the way you can take. We

our Stochastic technical indicator indicates a clear sell signal, ie go short in the market Forex EUR / USD.

The figure below shows the above.



If the price of Euro breaks the uptrend line would be a very clear signal to go short because as indicated in the chart analysis as indicators. If the price bounces up there would be a signal to go long.

As mentioned, the currency market illiquidity has a large and our recommendation would be not to open big positions, and we think the Euro direction should be lower, because of our technical analysis.

Saturday, September 20, 2008

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My Forex Investment - A week of film

During this week financial markets have been shaken like never before. Accompanied with low systemic financial disasters like bankruptcy of major investment banks in the United States. A crisis that we all thought that it was happening on that side of the Atlantic ... unthinkable a world financial sector in ruins ... But as Hollywood movies came the cavalry to the rescue with an unprecedented emergency program. The reaction was immediate in financial markets worldwide to record records of increases in their indexes.


Fundamental Analysis The U.S. financial sector fell to levels of the Great Depression 1929, however, unlike that time, the U.S. government announced an unprecedented plan to return the investor confidence to financial instruments.

The mortgage crisis is deeper than we had estimated and the news has surprised everyone. This crisis has produced a lack of liquidity in the currency markets. Currently

see the future with great uncertainty about what may happen in the FOREX Market EUR / USD. On the one hand we have a confirmation on the deteriorating growth prospects in the euro zone, pushing the euro lower. And secondly, a U.S. economy that will strive to maintain a competitive advantage to heal the financial sector, pushing the dollar lower. Important News

to be expected is the implementation of the measures the government of the United States Congress.

We predict a large market stability FOREX EUR / USD in conjunction with a large illiquidity. We recommend to stay away for now.

Technical Analysis
We see that the price of the Euro has broken the main trend line down marking the end of the bullish rally of the dollar against their peers.

Currently the Forex market EUR / USD may go back into an upward trend or just enter a cycle of congestion where points would be close to 1.4500 and not less than 1.4000.

Our technical indicators clearly indicates a long-term bullish advising enter the Euro. As we see in our next picture.



After seeing how critical financial markets are recommend to stay away for now. And if you want to open positions in EUR / USD would recommend go along with a very tight Take Profit.

Sunday, September 14, 2008

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My Forex Investment - Week of Uncertainty

A new week is about to begin, ending this week with a Euro rebounded strongly, making up the price of the euro against the dollar in more than 300 pips in a couple of days.

With oil trying to lose $ 100 a gallon seems to be a stage of uncertainty ...



Fundamental Analysis Fundamental analysis
For most true is that apparently the Fed is not very interested in maintaining a very Dollar high relative to their peers. And his decision to intervene in the market may be through a new cut rates and for this scenario there is some space due to lower oil prices by more than 30% from its peak close to 1.4700 dollars a barrel.
the Fed's decision will be announced this Tuesday September 16th at 19:15 GMT. The market expects the rate to remain at 2%. Any change may indicate the direction of the Euro, either low (if the rate rises) or up (if the Fed lowers its rate).

Technical Analysis

The recovery of the Euro from 1.3871 to end the week on the 1.4200 and all this in two days indicates the presence of an upward trend of the Euro. Yet to be confirmed, as can be seen as a simple rebound.

If we see our chart, we see that the price of the Euro is approaching the main trend line downward. And when faced with it we can confirm a trend change if it passes or simply send Euro price back down.


while technical indicators are showing signs of turnaround, this is not confirmed because they have not overcome the slope. Opening room for doubt of what might come here. While technically
, technical indicators can give some signal, chart analysis indicates that "nothing has happened yet." Therefore it is advisable to wait what will happen to the price of the Euro as it touches the trendline.

As always, if it bounces it is advisable to go short, and if the wait exceeds the turnaround. Basically

Sunday, September 7, 2008

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My Forex Investment - A week RED

can be defined the past week as "not positive" for financial markets. Well as for the Euro area to the United States.

could see a drop in the stock exchanges sustained and violent. Setbacks beat all world markets. However, the market assigned the worst part for the Euro ... surpassing the 10% down from peak levels of 1.6037.


Fundamental Analysis

much as the Euro area as the North American region showed negative economic indicators. The American zone showed an unemployment rate far worse than expected, and along with this showed that two major financial companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac require government intervention to overcome their crisis. This is a very bad sign, but we believe that the market already had taken and the impact on the price of the dollar is not very significant (but managed to close the dollar to rise in the last hours of Friday the rumor only ...) .

The United States government is committed to not to drop the U.S. financial sector, this translates into the following: 1 .- The mortgage problem in the United States is unresolved. 2 .- There is a certain relief by the United States.

The price of oil, which has a high correlation with the market FOREX EUR / USD has also shown a sharp drop in prices and apparently the next resistance should be close to the 1.00.

For we believe that fundamental analysis FOREX EUR / USD should enter a period of congestion or indecision with high volatility during the week.


Technical Analysis

Technically the market FOREX EUR / USD is in free fall, it appears that the Euro is depreciating sharply and there are analysts who think that the Euro should reach 1.3300.

As we announced the price of the Euro had to touch the trend line down and bounce down sharply this led to lower prices more than 300 EURO.

The following figure shows that low price is complete and the RSI technical indicator shows a negative slope (low signal), but in the oversold area.



Technically we think it can make some adjustments to the price as it is far from the trend line, in addition to closing the day in positive supports our position is a possible correction

For technical analysis , we think the market FOREX EUR / USD might make some corrections, but projections remain low in the euro and a stronger dollar.

recommend going short once the price rebound in the trend line.